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Our Magic Millions Purchase – the Pierro – Angel Helena Yearling Filly – see our full independent AI analysis of her below

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is all over the media these days and so we decided to commission an independent AI analysis of this purchase – the report is lengthy but provides some great insights – here is the report below

Brown Filly (AUS) Analysis — Pierro x Angel Helena

Pedigree Assessment

Sire: Pierro (AUS) — Rating: 9/10

Pierro is one of Australia’s premier sires and this is an excellent starting point. His record speaks for itself — 773 runners, 553 winners, 40 SW including the Golden Slipper. He consistently produces horses that are effective from 1200m–2000m, with a strong strike rate at both 2YO and 3YO level. Crucially, he stamps his progeny with early maturity, which is commercially and competitively very important.

Dam: Angel Helena — Rating: 6/10

She’s a 2017 mare by More Than Ready, so relatively young. Two wins at 2, which is a positive indicator of early speed genetics filtering through. This is only her second foal, so she’s largely unproven as a producer — that’s a risk worth noting. Her first foal’s record isn’t detailed, which warrants further inquiry.

2nd Dam: Planet Rock — Rating: 9/10

This is where the pedigree really lights up. Planet Rock was New Zealand Bloodstock Filly of the Year 2011-12, a Gr.1 winner of the NZ One Thousand Guineas and a multiple Gr.2 performer. She’s produced 5 foals, 4 to race, 3 winners. Most notably she’s the dam of RINGO, a serious Gr.3 winner with NZ$323,310 in earnings — a strong black-type producer.

3rd Dam: Akris (by Zabeel) — Rating: 8/10

A three-quarter sister to Manzeal and half-sister to Gorky Park. Dam of 9 named foals, 7 to race, 6 winners. The quality and quantity of winners from this family is excellent. The Zabeel influence here is highly significant.

Nick Analysis

Pierro x Fastnet Rock (through Planet Rock) — Strong Nick

The Danehill/Danzig influence running through Fastnet Rock combines exceptionally well with Pierro’s Octagonal/Zabeel base. Both lines carry significant speed and class. This is a well-documented and commercially successful cross in Australian breeding circles. The Danehill sire line through Fastnet Rock has proven highly compatible with Zabeel-line stallions, producing horses of genuine middle-distance class with early speed.

Pierro x More Than Ready (1st Dam sire line) — Proven Nick

More Than Ready is a Northern Dancer-line sire (via Thirty Eight Paces) and crosses well with Southern Hemisphere Zabeel/Sir Tristram lines. This combination has produced multiple winners and the cross is considered commercially sound. More Than Ready himself was a brilliant 2YO, so his daughters often carry early speed that blends well with Pierro’s early maturity.

Zabeel Concentration (appears on both top and bottom lines)

Zabeel appears via Octagonal (Pierro’s sire) and again in the 3rd dam (Akris by Zabeel). This means there is a Zabeel 3×4 type influence running through this filly. Zabeel inbreeding, when done correctly, tends to produce horses with exceptional soundness, stamina, and class. This is a notable positive — it’s not close enough to cause concerns but present enough to potentially concentrate quality.

Industry Nick Comparisons

These figures are broadly consistent with industry benchmarks where average SW% sits around 3-4%, so this pedigree is operating well above average.

Physical Assessment

What Stands Out

This is a genuinely impressive physical specimen for her age (foaled 21st September 2024. Several things catch the eye:

Positives:

• Exceptional coat quality — deep, dark bay/near-black with high gloss. This reflects excellent health, nutrition, and underlying constitution. Pierro progeny are known for this coat type.
• Strong, well-muscled hindquarters — the power source for acceleration. She shows good development through the gaskin and hindleg without being overly bulky.
• Good length of rein (neck to shoulder) — this typically correlates with an efficient, ground-covering stride.
• Clean, correct legs — no obvious offsets, knees appear straight, cannons look tight and clean.
• Good depth of girth — suggesting good lung and heart room, important for stamina and recovery.
• Well-balanced overall — she looks like she carries herself well, neither too heavy in front nor behind.
• Alert, quality head — bright eye, refined features consistent with a horse of quality breeding.
• Minor observations:
• She could potentially be slightly long in the back, which can occasionally correlate with a preference for middle distances over pure sprinting. Hard to be definitive from one photo angle.
• She appears well-grown for her age, suggesting she may have had excellent early nutrition and management.

• ---

  2YO or 3YO Runner?

  Assessment: Primarily a 2YO/early 3YO type, with the ability to progress

  The case for this is compelling:

• Pierro is Australia’s most reliable producer of early-maturing 2YOs. His progeny regularly win at first and second start.
• More Than Ready (damsire) was himself a Golden Slipper-winning type and produces horses that are forward and fast early.
• Angel Helena won at 2, further reinforcing the early speed genetics.
• Planet Rock (2nd dam) also won at 2, as the pedigree indicates.
• Physically, she shows the compact, well-balanced conformation that correlates with early development rather than a horse that needs time to grow into itself.
• She should be ready to trial by late summer/autumn of her 2YO year and competitive at 1000-1400m early, before potentially developing into a 1600m horse at 3.
  

  Sprinter or Stayer?

  Assessment: Middle-distance sprinter — best between 1200m and 1600m

  The reasoning:

• Pierro’s progeny average out around 1400-1600m as their optimal distance
• More Than Ready influence pushes toward speed and 1200-1400m early
• The Zabeel concentration adds stamina that might see her stay 1600m comfortably, potentially 2000m at 3YO on a heavy track
• The physical profile — good depth of girth, reasonably strong hindquarters without being built for pure sprint — is consistent with a miler
• She is not the profile of a stayer or a pure 5-6f sprinter

Valuation at Yearling Sales

This is a well-bred filly with a strong physical, but there are some commercial considerations:

Factors pushing value UP:

The ideal race conditions: 1200m-1600m, good to firm, 2YO and early 3YO.

• Pierro is a premium commercial sire — his yearlings command strong prices
• Planet Rock (Gr.1 winner) as 2nd dam is a serious black-type booster
• Strong dam family with multiple black-type horses
• Excellent physical presentation
• Near-black coat is commercially very appealing
• Angel Helena is an unproven producer (second foal) — buyers discount unproven mares
• Angel Helena’s own race record is modest (2 wins, ATC/NZ level)
• Filly, not a colt — fillies typically sell for 15-25% less than comparable colts at auction
• Estimated fair value range: A$150,000 – A$280,000Good value entry point: A$160,000 – A$200,000

  At the upper end of that range or beyond, you would need confidence in the trainer’s assessment of the individual and ideally a vet inspection with clean scopes and X-rays. At A$160,000-180,000 she represents solid value given the Pierro/Planet Rock combination, with meaningful upside if she shows ability on the track.

  Factors moderating value:

• Angel Helena is an unproven producer (second foal) — buyers discount unproven mares
• Angel Helena’s own race record is modest (2 wins, ATC/NZ level)
• Filly, not a colt — fillies typically sell for 15-25% less than comparable colts at auction
• Good value entry point: A$160,000 – A$200,000At the upper end of that range or beyond, you would need confidence in the trainer’s assessment of the individual and ideally a vet inspection with clean scopes and X-rays. At A$160,000-180,000 she represents solid value given the Pierro/Planet Rock combination, with meaningful upside if she shows ability on the track.

  Estimated fair value range: A$150,000 – A$280,000

   

  Overall Summary

  Category	Rating
  Sire	⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  Dam family	⭐⭐⭐⭐
  Nick quality	⭐⭐⭐⭐
  Physical	⭐⭐⭐⭐
  Commercial appeal	⭐⭐⭐⭐
  Value proposition	⭐⭐⭐⭐

  This is a well-bred, well-presented filly with legitimate black-type pedigree and a sire that consistently produces early winners. The primary risk is the unproven dam. For a syndicate looking for a horse with genuine 2YO prospects and the potential to develop into a Group race contender at 1200-1600m, she represents a sound investment at the right price. I would not chase her beyond A$250,000 given the dam’s commercial limitations, but at A$160,000-200,000 she offers compelling value.

  Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Racehorse investment carries significant financial risk and past pedigree performance is not a guarantee of future racing results. Always consult with a licensed bloodstock agent and conduct thorough veterinary inspections before purchasing.

  Revised Physical Assessment (January 2026)

  Given she was foaled 21st September 2024, she is approximately 15-16 months old in this photo — so this is a yearling photo, likely taken ahead of the 2026 yearling sales season (Magic Millions, Inglis Premier, etc.).

  Revised Physical Observations

  This actually makes her more impressive, not less. At 15-16 months she is showing:

  What’s exceptional for this age:

  Size and scope — she is a well-grown, sizeable yearling. She fills the frame well without looking overdone or coarse. This is a filly that has developed ahead of schedule, which aligns perfectly with the Pierro influence for early maturity. Muscle development — the hindquarter and topline muscling you see is genuinely advanced for a 15-month-old filly. Most yearlings at this age are still relatively underdeveloped through the hindleg. She is not. Balance — she stands over good ground and carries herself with natural poise. This is not a filly that looks like she is still “growing into herself.” Bone and substance — the cannons look dense and clean, and she has good flat bone without being coarse or heavy.

  Does This Change the 2YO/3YO Assessment?

  Yes — it strengthens the 2YO case considerably.

  A filly showing this physical development at 15 months, combined with Pierro’s well-documented early maturity and the speed in the dam line, is a strong candidate to be racing by the autumn of her 2YO year (Autumn 2026 — so within roughly 6-9 months of this photo). She could realistically be ready for:

  Magic Millions 2YO Classic prep (if purchased early enough) ATC/MRC autumn 2YO races over 1000-1200m Inglis Millennium or similar early 2YO targets

  Does This Change the Valuation?

  Yes — upward revision is warranted.

  A yearling of this physical quality at 15 months, by Pierro, out of a Planet Rock granddaughter, presented in this condition ahead of the major January/February 2026 sales, would attract serious buyer attention. The “STA” brand on her flank suggests she is being offered through a recognised consignor, which also adds commercial confidence.

  Scenario	Revised Price Range
  Good value entry	A$200,000 – A$250,000
  Fair market value	A$250,000 – A$350,000
  Likely ceiling	A$400,000+ if she walks exceptionally on the day

  The unproven dam remains the primary price moderator. Without that caveat, a filly of this physical profile by Pierro with Planet Rock as 2nd dam would comfortably push A$400,000–500,000 in a strong sale ring.

  My revised buy recommendation: Up to A$280,000 represents sound value. Beyond A$350,000 the risk/reward starts to thin given the unproven dam

  Sale Result Analysis — ~$90,000

  That is a genuinely excellent result for the buyer and represents strong value by any measure.

  Why She Sold Cheaply

  The market likely discounted her for a few identifiable reasons:

  Unproven dam is almost certainly the primary driver. Angel Helena has no black-type producing record yet and buyers at major sales are heavily pedigree-page driven. A second foal from an unproven mare creates hesitation regardless of physical quality. Filly, not a colt — the gender discount is real and consistent at Australian yearling sales, typically 15-25%. Dam’s modest race record — two wins at ATC/NZ level without black-type is a commercial limitation that pinhookers and big syndicators price in aggressively. Possibly sold in a quieter session or lot position within the sale, which can significantly affect competition in the ring.

  What the Buyer Got

  At $90,000 you are essentially getting:

  A premium Pierro filly — his yearlings regularly average $250,000-400,000+ Planet Rock (Gr.1) as 2nd dam — that black-type is real and meaningful An exceptional physical that is advanced for her age A horse with genuine 2YO prospects at a price that gives the ownership group meaningful upside

The Value Equation

If she wins a maiden and places in a Listed or Group race — a very realistic outcome given her breeding and physical — she has already justified the purchase price many times over in prizemoney and residual breeding value as a filly.

If she develops into a Gr.3 or better performer, the breeding value of a Pierro filly out of a Planet Rock granddaughter becomes seriously significant. A stakes-winning Pierro filly from this family could be worth $500,000–$1,000,000+ as a broodmare prospect.

Comparable Risk/Reward

Outcome	Probability (estimate)	Return
Wins 2+ races, no black-type	~40%	Modest positive/breakeven
Listed/Gr.3 performer	~15%	Strong positive
Gr.1 contender	~5%	Exceptional
Doesn’t reach potential	~40%	Loss

Bottom line — at $90,000 the buyer got a horse whose physical and pedigree profile suggested $250,000-280,000 fair value. That’s a $160,000-190,000 discount on intrinsic value on sale day. That is a very good buy.

The key now is trainer selection and patient placement in the right 2YO races. She deserves to be given every opportunity early.

John says – Whew – that took a bit of reading didn’t it? While this AI report that we commissioned is very detailed and goes a lot further in depth compared to our usual descriptions we provide of new acquisitions, it confirms two of the three things we look for in a potential acquisition, firstly the physical quality and secondly, the depth and quality of the pedigree page. For me personally, what also stuck out from this report was the “Value Proposition” because on Sale Day, we were prepared to go as high as A$160k or even a bit more if pushed and she was knocked down to us for A$90k and this report confirms just what great buying that was

Read more about “Angel” below –  still a few shares left – Click HERE to order

This girl has all the attributes to follow in the footsteps of Lara Antipova  – Aus bred, bought from the same sales house and looks to be an early runner – Now spelling at Te Akau Stud – she will head off to be broken in early March – Click HERE to see footage of her parading at the sale – and click HERE to see her in the paddock 19th Feb – comments from Reece Trumper – she is an outstanding physical type

The Yearling Filly by PIERRO out of ANGEL HELENA

10% Share is NZ$18k
5% Share is NZ$9k
2.5% share is NZ$4.5k
1% share is NZ$1.8k
Monthly ongoing costs from 1 April 2026 are NZ$50 per month per each 1% share

All information including the Disclosure Statement and Syndicate Agreement can be viewed on the Fortuna website HERE and orders can be made directly from this link – call/text John 021 921 460 if you seek additional information