Greetings John and Friday Flash readers
The curtain has come down on the jumps season and interesting to see an Australian visitor take out the Great NZ Steeplechase in the form of Christmas last Sunday. It’s a rare occurrence to see an Australian visitor win our longest staying jumps race. That’s never happened in our life times in the historic race (ex Great Northern Steeples at Ellerslie until 2020) but the win I guess is payback from out mates across the Tasman for all the Grand Nationals we’ve plundered over there for decades, including Fortuna Racing’s grand galloper, Leaderboard, when taking out the 2025 event
SPRING SURELY WILL SOON\ BE IN THE AIR
I don’t know about you but this continuous wind and rain and giving us these unseasonal wet tracks is becoming something of a bore. I’m ok with heavy tracks between say late May, June, July and August but it’s rather frustrating for us all to see them linger right throughout September.
We’re now on the cusp of serious black type racing for our up and coming types and trainers must be pulling their hair out as they try to avoid lead ups to the group ones, twos and threes on such tough surfaces. Hopefully things will work out for the best as the countdown begins in earnest for some of best flat racing.
For sure the pressure is really on for the formerly troubled Hastings track on Saturday with the running of the group one weight for age 1600. As well as that it’s the traditional curtain raisers for the group one Guineas events at Riccarton with the Hawkes Bay Guineas and the Gold Trail Stakes. Thankfully the weather has played its part during the week with just the odd sprinkling or two.
Let’s hope it all falls into place the way we want it to.
TOP TRACK MANAGER TO DEPART TRENTHAM
I’VE thought that the most difficult job in our business is the job of a track manager. When to water, when not to? Having to deal with erratic weather patterns is always a challenge. This week Trentham’s track manager Jamie Phillips, whose expertise with soil, drainage, grass growing, cutting and the right machinery applications, has always been on cue, announced he will step down from the job.
He’s been track manager for at least 6 years and it’s his intention to spend more time on his own land in the Wairarapa. He will be part of the transition when his successor is appointed and Jamie will be around for the big day, the group one Mufhasa TAB Classic in early December, for his last official post.
ANALYSING THE OVERSEAS MELBOURNE CUP FORM
ITS never easy trying to keep up with the overseas form when it comes to the Melbourne Cup. It surely was a lot easier for ourselves in years past. As I mentioned recently this November is the 50th anniversary of Van Der Hum’s mud splattered win when he beat 11 other NZ trained stayers amongst the 24 runners.
From now until the big day, I’ll give you a bit of a breakdown on the form of TWO potential runners that are earmarked for the race. It may help.
STINGER GRASS, TAB odds 15 to one
By Kizuna ( Deep Impact) from Life For Sale ( Not For Sale)
12 starts for 6 wins and 2 placings
In February this year he won the group 3 Diamond Stakes on the turf over 3400m when ridden by star jockey Christophe Lemaire. He has returned to racing on the cup trail but was kept over a shorter distance (2200m) at group one level in the famous Kinen in his latest appearance and is now on the quarantine path and will race in a fresh state in the Melbourne Cup.
As most of us know the Cup is won by a horse with tactical speed and versatility coupled with strong resilience if, as it should be, a genuinely run two miles. This horse has steadily improved with age and experience. He appears to have done better through the trajectory of longer distances. His big win saw him sit close to the pace and from the 800m sit outside the lead until the home straight when he unleashed a strong sprint to put a buffer between him the rest and easily hold off the challengers.
It’s 20 years since two Japanese runners ran one and two in the Cup, Delta Blues and Pop Rock.
The Japanese inclusion in the race is sparse. Two years ago Warp Speed ran second to the long shot, Knight’s Choice and in my humble opinion, the Japanese stayers are the best in the world.
DEFIANTLY, TAB odds 11 to one
By Kameko ( Kitten’s Joy) from Roheryn ( Galileo)
9 starts for 3 wins and two placings
He has been described as a strong, relentless stayer with deep stamina who keeps improving with each race. Trainer Joseph O’Brien pointed out in a recent podcast in Australia said Defiantly has a “one speed” and somewhat lazy temperament and the jockey has to keep “digging” him to get him going.
He won the Goodwood Handicap, beating 18 other runners, after sitting outside the pace for much of the 2 and a half mile race and in a lung bursting run hit the front for the long run home and won comfortably. He carried 60kgs in that win and drops to 56.5kgs at Flemington.
I’ll highlight a couple more Melbourne Cup bound runners next week.
TRIALS WATCH FR0M AVONDALE TUESDAY
BIZARREBEEL, by champion sire Snitzel out of the super duper, Probabeel, looked the part despite running only 5th her heat over 600m. She was hard held to the line and two year old competitive excitement awaits!
YOUMUSTBEJOKING : is a three year old by Brazen Beau who wasn’t let go when running 5th in his trial over 800m.
JUST A GIGOLO: he knuckled down quite professionally to win his maiden three year old trial over 800m.
AN INVITATION TO JOIN THE EMAIL TIPPING SERVICE
BETWEEN October and December we have a great number of racing carnivals to sift through in NZ with a few bonus meetings from Australia thrown in around Melbourne Cup time. If you’d like to give my email tipping service a try, the next 3 months could well be the very best time.
The cost is $240 for this period and you’ll also get the rest of this month ( including the group one race day at Hastings on Saturday ) as an extra bonus. The offer closes at 7pm today.
The service is extensive. You’ll get the top 2 tips for each NZ Raceday ( 82 meetings in NZ alone), plus a comment on the Best Bet and Value Bet for each meeting.
If you are keen simply email me dcoppins@xtra.co.nz before 7pm today and I’ll respond shortly after.
Good Punting
Des Coppins
021 448 052